Ethereum is the second most relevant cryptocurrency in the crypto world, after Bitcoin.
It’s a crypto asset that has other utilities, beyond just accumulating value over time.
Currently, thanks to Ethereum, thousands of projects of all kinds such as Decentralized Finance or NFTs have emerged.
This makes the native token of the Ethereum network (ETH) necessary to trade in all these emerging projects, simultaneously increasing the demand and price of ETH.
To learn more about Ethereum, here is an analysis and forecast of its chart in depth. I will update it every 15 days, so you don’t miss anything. 😉
Chart of Ethereum (ETH)
Technical Analysis Ethereum
It’s important to read charts and their context well, such as detecting supports and resistances, checking the trend of the chart, etc.
What technical indicators does today’s Ethereum chart show?
1- Supports and Resistances
Supports are below the price and resistances are above.
Where are the levels located on this chart?
As you can see, Ethereum recently broke through the $2,000 level. From there, the price made a small pullback and began the latest major uptrend we’re seeing now, skyrocketing up to $4,000. After a strong correction, it returned to the $2,300 zone, where it appears to be finding support in the form of accumulation. Over the past few days, the price saw the breakout it needed to move out of the accumulation phase.
Were you able to take advantage of this move?
2- Where to Enter and Where to Exit
If you intended to manually exit the operation, you can forget that idea.
Placing your entry, exit, or even the stop loss correctly is important.
You should consider what kind of investor you are. If you want to buy Ethereum for the long term (holder), you would wait for support zones to accumulate positions. You wouldn’t mind much if the price fluctuated.
However, if you like to trade (swing trader), you need to be clear about where to place your entry, your stop loss, and your risk.
In this case, given the current price, we could find a small entry pattern if the price pulls back to the support at 2,700 or even down to 2,400. Your first target would be 4,000, and also keep a close eye on whether the price manages to break the all-time high of 4,870.
As you can see on the weekly chart, the price could even return to the 2,000 zone, although that’s less likely. What do you think?
3- Weekly Average
You may have noticed that in the charts of the medium-term strategy (weekly charts) there is always a moving average.
My advice is that you clearly define two colors in your moving average for when it rises or falls. When the average constantly changes color, it is indicating a lateral phase.
I have configured it in the following way:
- The blue color indicates bullish moments.
- The red color indicates bearish phases.
The weekly moving average has been red for almost two and a half months, indicating a downtrend.
Currently, the price-value tension has decreased due to the sharp increase we’re seeing. We need to wait for the price to pause at one of the levels before resuming the upward trend.
Do you see it clearly? What decision would you make?
4- Divergences
Divergence is the opposite of convergence.
If converging means “directing towards the same point,” diverging is “behaving in the opposite manner.”
Thus, in technical analysis, a divergence occurs when the price and an indicator have opposite behaviors at their extremes. That is, one rises and the other falls.
Let’s analyze the Ethereum chart. At first glance, what do you detect?
On the weekly chart, we previously had a bearish divergence in one of the indicators we usually use (MACD). Right now, we’re seeing a MACD indicator that’s starting to turn positive and point upward along with the price, so the indicator and price are moving in sync.
5 – Price Structure
Technical analysis serves to predict what the price will do. We often use different techniques such as divergences with indicators, trend lines, patterns, etc.
But the most important thing is what the price is “drawing,” what you will know as price structure. No asset moves in a straight line constantly. Sooner or later, there is a lot of tension in one direction, and there is an imbalance between buyers and sellers that needs to be rebalanced.
This causes the price to create the famous swings or impulses and retracements, which are creating structures of highs and lows in one direction. Understanding how these movements are created will give you clarity when detecting the trend of the asset you are looking at.
What’s happening with Ethereum?
I’ve highlighted the latest downward price movements on the candlestick chart. We see a clear bearish structure on the daily chart with lower highs and lower lows. You can observe how the downward swings have been forming steadily. This movement led the price down to $2,200, but from there, the structure shifted, with higher highs pushing the price above the key resistance zone at $2,700.
What could happen now? We’re witnessing a strong upward move that could push the price to new higher levels, which translates into good buying opportunities.
It’s essential at this moment not to get carried away by FOMO and to stick to your strategy. Wait for the price to return to the support zone to find a better entry price. Also, keep a close watch on whether the price breaks $3.000, which would signify two important things: a resistance breakout and a new high, indicating an upward shift in price structure.
6 – Volatility
Volatility is usually a sign that the price is accelerating in a direction.
To understand the volatility Ethereum has, you’ll need to look at the candlesticks.
Remember, the interpretation of Japanese candles in trading is a matter of common sense.
The larger candles represent price drops, while the smaller ones indicate the opposite: calmer areas. On the chart, we’ve marked (in orange) recent periods where Ethereum has experienced high volatility. We can see how the significant volatility aligns with sharp declines, pushing the price down to the $2,300 support. Then, before the upward move, the bullish rally begins.
Forecast with Ethereum
If you’ve made it this far, it’s because you’re really interested in knowing what’s going to happen with Ethereum.
I’m not a fortune teller, nor do I pretend to be, but it’s clear that, in the short term, the most likely scenario is for Ethereum to keep rising, at least based on the strength of the recent price surge. You could even take advantage of a breakout and pullback to the $2,700 area before the price continues to climb.
This at least seems like the most probable scenario for Ethereum. Still, despite being the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, Ethereum has shown the poorest performance this year compared to the rest of the top 10 cryptos. In fact, it’s only slightly above the same level where it started in January of this year.
We’ll need to watch it closely to see if it holds at the areas we’ve discussed and forms a buy pattern or if an indicator confirms a buying opportunity. Remember to be patient and wait for your entry point instead of trying to anticipate the move.
What would you do? How would you position yourself?
Trading with Ethereum
As you already know, trading with Ethereum is not easy. Therefore, it’s crucial to educate yourself first to become profitable. Remember to store Ethereum in the safest ETH wallet in the world, Material Ether.
And, of course, don’t forget to follow the Bitcoin chart with me. Don’t buy just because the price reaches support; always wait for confirmation of the stop. If you have doubts or questions, feel free to join our Telegram channel.
For more in-depth analysis, check out our trend analysis of Bitcoin.
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