Ethereum Technical Analysis: How to Trade

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Ethereum stands as the second most prominent cryptocurrency in the crypto world, trailing behind Bitcoin.

It’s a crypto asset with diverse utilities beyond just accruing value over time.

Currently, Ethereum has given rise to numerous projects, ranging from Decentralized Finance (DeFi) to Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs).

This makes the native token of the Ethereum network (ETH) essential for participating in these emerging projects, contributing to the rising demand and valuation of ETH.

To delve deeper into Ethereum, here’s an in-depth analysis and forecast of its chart. I’ll be updating it every 15 days, so you won’t miss a beat. 😉

Ethereum (ETH) Chart

This chart shows a very clear underlying upward trend. Currently (07/22/2024), the price of Ethereum is around $3,482. The price dropped throughout 2022, but in recent months, we have continued to see a strong upward trend, raising the price almost 130% since October 2023.

What do you think is happening?

 

Tendencia ETH

 

Ethereum Technical Analysis

It’s crucial to read charts and understand their context, such as identifying supports and resistances, checking the chart trend, etc. What technical indicators does the Ethereum chart show today?

1- Supports and Resistances

Supports are below the price, and resistances are above. Where are the levels located on this chart?

supports and resistance ethereum

 

As you can see, Ethereum had recently broken through the $2,000 zone. From there, the price experienced a minor pullback and then began its significant uptrend, soaring like a rocket to reach $4,000. After a wedge correction, it surged again to $4,000, and today we’re witnessing a deep selling candle.

Have you been able to capitalize on this move?

2- Where to Enter and Where to Exit

If you were planning to manually exit the operation, you can forget about that idea. Placing your entry, exit, or even stop-loss price correctly is important.

You should consider what type of investor you are:

If you want to buy Ethereum for the long term (holder), you would wait for support zones to accumulate positions. You wouldn’t mind so much if the price oscillated. Now, if you enjoy trading (swing trader), you should be clear about where to place your entry, stop loss, and risk.

ethereum trading

 

In this case, looking at the current price, we might identify a small entry pattern if the price continues to pull back to $2,700 or even down to $2,400. Your first target would be $4,000, and also keep a close eye on whether the price manages to break the historical highs of $4,870.

As you can see on the weekly chart, the price could potentially return to the $2,000 zone, although it might be less likely. What do you think?

Another fantastic option would be to wait for a strong breakout above $4,000 and enter on a possible pullback.

 

3- Weekly moving average

Surely, you’ve noticed that in the charts of the medium-term strategy (weekly charts), there’s always a moving average.

My advice is to define two clearly distinguishable colors for your moving average when it goes up or down. When the average constantly changes color, it indicates a sideways phase.

I’ve configured it as follows: The blue line indicates bullish moments. The red line outlines bearish phases.

weekly moving average ethereum

The weekly moving average has been in an upward trend for nearly 8 months, indicating a bullish trend. Currently, the price-value tension has completely diminished due to the sharp decline we are witnessing. We should wait for the price to stabilize at one of the levels before resuming the upward momentum. Do you see it clearly? What decision would you make?

 

4- Divergences

Divergence is the opposite of convergence. If converging means ‘moving towards the same point,’ diverging is ‘behaving in the opposite way.’

Therefore, in technical analysis, a divergence occurs when the price and an indicator exhibit opposite behaviors at their extremes. In other words, one rises while the other falls. Let’s analyze the Ethereum chart. What do you observe at first glance?

ethereum divergence

On the weekly chart, we had been observing a bearish divergence in one of the indicators we commonly use (MACD). Currently, the MACD indicator continues to point downward while the price does not follow suit. Therefore, we maintain the bearish divergence in MACD, which could weaken this upward movement.

5- Price structure

Technical analysis serves to predict what the price will do.

We usually employ different techniques such as divergences with indicators, trendlines, patterns, etc.

But most importantly, it’s what the price ‘draws’ for us, known as the price structure. No asset moves in a straight line constantly. Sooner or later, there is a lot of tension in one direction, creating an imbalance between buyers and sellers that needs to be rebalanced.

This leads to the famous swings or impulses and retracements, forming structures of highs and lows in a certain direction.

Understanding how these movements are developing will provide clarity in detecting the trend of the asset you are observing. What’s happening with Ethereum?

price structure ethereum

I have marked on the weekly candlestick chart the upward movement that has been occurring since the end of 2023. You can see how the bullish swings have been rigorously occurring, leaving new, progressively higher lows and highs. This movement has allowed the price to recover a significant portion of the drop from 2022, and it has now strongly broken through the psychological $4,000 barrier.

What can happen now? We are witnessing a strong correction that could bring the price back to the previously discussed levels, presenting good opportunities for buying at a lower price. Currently, the price structure is bullish again on a daily basis, and the ideal scenario would be to break through the $4,000 zone to confirm the continuation of the upward trend.

It’s very important at this time not to get carried away by FOMO and stick to your strategy. Wait for the price to return to the support zone to look for a better entry price.

6- Volatility

Volatility is often a sign that the price is accelerating in a certain direction. To gauge Ethereum’s volatility, pay attention to Japanese candlesticks. Keep in mind that interpreting candlesticks in trading is a matter of common sense.

volatility ethereum

The larger candles represent price drops, while the smaller ones indicate the opposite: calmer zones.

In the chart, we’ve marked (in orange) the recent periods where Ethereum has experienced significant volatility. We notice that high volatility coincides with strong increases needed to break the resistance levels at $4,000 and $3,600. Currently, we see a slowdown in the resistance zone accompanied by a large, strong red candle. A few days ago, there was a strong push upward again. We should wait to see if the previously mentioned upward trend starts anew.

 

Forecast for Ethereum

If you’ve made it this far, it’s because you’re genuinely interested in knowing what’s going to happen with Ethereum.

I’m not a fortune-teller, nor do I claim to be one, but it’s clear that in the short term, the most likely scenario for the price of Ethereum is a slight correction. However, you should wait for the zones I mentioned earlier to establish a buying pattern and continue riding the new uptrend. At least, that seems to be the most probable scenario for Ethereum. The significant surge we’ve discussed was driven by the launch of Ethereum ETFs, which, similar to Bitcoin, have been highly successful and created a substantial demand for the asset.

It’s important to monitor closely to see if a good buying opportunity arises, or if instead, the price reaches resistance and fails to break through. Remember to be patient and wait for the right entry point rather than trying to anticipate it.

What would you do? How do you plan to position yourself?

 

Ethereum Trading

As you already know, trading with Ethereum is not easy. Therefore, it’s crucial to educate yourself first to become profitable. Remember to store Ethereum in the safest ETH wallet in the world, Material Ether.

And, of course, don’t forget to follow the Bitcoin chart with me. Don’t buy just because the price reaches support; always wait for confirmation of the stop. If you have doubts or questions, feel free to join our Telegram channel.

For more in-depth analysis, check out our trend analysis of Bitcoin.

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    Eva Robledo - Material Bitcoin

    Eva Robledo - Material Bitcoin

    Eva Robledo has specialized in both professional marketing and advanced SEO. She is currently working on various projects related to the world of trading, cryptocurrencies, and finance. With extensive experience in content creation for these areas, among others, she brings valuable expertise to her endeavors.

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